Shreveport-Bossier MSA
Data Products
Parcel to MSA-level data, risk intelligence, and predictive modeling. Each product is independently deliverable and composable with others. Regional research is available beneath the product layer — if an analysis here solves a problem you have, ask.
Due Diligence
Parcel-level intelligence for loan officers, title closers, and investors.
Due Diligence Assessment
Address lookup combining parcel attributes, flood zone status, ground subsidence, zoning, soil risk, EPA proximity, and neighborhood ACS profile in a single report with PDF export.
- →Tri-parish coverage, Caddo + Bossier + DeSoto
- →FEMA flood zone, BFE, freeboard depth
- →InSAR subsidence velocity + risk band
- →Permit history, code violations, NFIP claims
Physical Risk
Ground movement, flood exposure, and forward-looking encroachment projections at the parcel level.
Ground Subsidence Dataset
Satellite-derived vertical ground movement for 182,000+ parcels in Caddo and Bossier parishes. Dual-track InSAR, CORS-calibrated against a geodetic reference station.
- →velocity_vert_mmyr per parcel, averaged dual-track
- →Caddo median −6.1 mm/yr · Bossier median −10.2 mm/yr
- →Confidence tier: multi-track or single-track
- →CSV or GeoJSON · Quarterly refresh
Flood Zone Encroachment Analysis
Composed from subsidence velocity, LiDAR ground elevation, and FEMA BFE contours. Identifies parcels on trajectory to enter Zone AE and projects the encroachment horizon in years.
- →14,676 at-risk parcels identified
- →1,386 within 10-year horizon
- →Forward-looking — not current FEMA maps
- →Relevant to any 15–30-year obligation
Distress & Urban Decay
Tax-delinquent parcels, blight intelligence, and predictive adjudication modeling.
Adjudicated Property Dataset
Every tax-delinquent parcel in the Shreveport-Bossier MSA. Clean, geocoded, and cross-parish — adjudication records joined to parcel fabric, assessor values, and zoning.
- →9,300+ parcels: Caddo, Bossier, DeSoto
- →Adjudication date + status · Assessed values · Zoning
- →Structure-standing flag · Lot size · Year built
- →CSV or GeoJSON · Quarterly refresh
Adjudicated Property Intelligence
The full dataset enriched with five independent risk and condition layers. Designed for users who need to act on the data — screen, rank, and route intervention budgets.
- →Flood zone + freeboard + encroachment horizon
- →InSAR subsidence velocity + risk band
- →34-year permit history + violation ratio
- →Composite distress score · LISA quadrant · Urgency tier
Market & Valuation
Sales activity, price modeling, and neighborhood-level market segmentation.
Comp Estimator
XGBoost price model trained on 5 years of Redfin transaction data. Neighborhood, micro-zone, and parcel-level comparable sales with adjustments for age, size, and condition signals.
- →163 micro-zones across 54 neighborhoods
- →3,460 features · XGBoost model
- →Permit-seasoned comps (recent investment flagged)
Lending & Market Intelligence
Origination activity, collateral exposure, and credit market trajectories at neighborhood and MSA scale.
Capital Intelligence Platform
Combines macro credit conditions, local origination trajectories, and the physical risk exposure of collateral portfolios. Surfaces who is expanding or contracting in your market — and whether the collateral can hold.
- →315K origination records, 18 years
- →Tract-level purchase vs. refi trajectory
- →Collateral flood + distress exposure by institution
- →Macro envelope + local expansion signals
Commercial & Economic Development
Business density, trade area analysis, and commercial site intelligence.
Business Location Dataset
25,755 businesses in Caddo and Bossier parishes, deduplicated across multiple sources, normalized to a consistent category schema, and matched to parcel and neighborhood geographies.
- →Name, address, GPS, category, status
- →First/last seen dates · Open/closed tracking
- →Quarterly refresh · Deduplicated cross-source
Regional Research
Completed analyses that live beneath the product layer. No defined product yet — but if something here is useful to you, ask.
Recovery Regime Analysis
Three neighborhood typologies identified: private market recovery, LIHTC-dependent stabilization, and structural contraction. Adjudication is the lock — demolition clustering is pre-existing, not causal.
Assessor Value Surface & LISA
Global Moran's I across 138K parcels. 52,769 LL vs. 6,380 HH quadrants (9:1 ratio). Contiguous distressed core confirmed. IDW gradient magnitude computed.
Blight Vector Directionality
1,818 pre-adjudication parcels with urgency scores and bearing from the LL distressed centroid. 80%+ of the wave points SSE — the frontier is not random.
911 Border Density Analysis
Tested whether income-gradient borders produce elevated dispatch density at the interface. Hypothesis disconfirmed — elevated density is uniform throughout low-income block groups, not concentrated at borders.
Displacement Pressure Analysis
Three-signal time series at census tract level: resident income trajectory (IRS SOI), buyer income trajectory (HMDA), and home price trajectory (HMDA + Redfin). Widening buyer-resident gap = displacement signal.
Capital Flow Concentration
HMDA denial rates, FDIC deposit coverage, and SBA distribution mapped at tract level. Surfaces where capital flows and where it doesn't — structural rather than behavioral.
Neighborhood Micro-Zone Clustering
163 market micro-zones across 54 neighborhoods, derived from hybrid KMeans on price, size, age, and location. Finer-grained than neighborhood-level comps.
Infrastructure Subsidence Risk
InSAR velocity cross-referenced against bridge inventory, road network, and utility infrastructure proximity. Bridge condition + subsidence rate = forward-looking failure risk signal.
Flood Scenario & Loss Modeling
Simulation of flood events using stream gauge data, LiDAR DTM, and parcel assessed values. Loss estimate by return period (10/50/100/500-year).
Eviction & Housing Stress Mapping
Eviction Lab tract data joined to HUD CHAS cost-burden estimates. Stress concentration by neighborhood typology and income cohort.
HOLC Boundary Overlay
Tests whether the current blight crescent traces 1930s–40s redlining D-grade zones. Historical narrative layer connecting present distress to structural origin.
Business Ecosystem Density
Spatial density by business category at block group level. Category mix as a signal of neighborhood economic stage — formation, maturation, or contraction.
If any of these analyses is relevant to a question you're trying to answer, reach out. Most are packageable as reports or licensed datasets without additional build work.
Get in Touch
Questions or custom data requests?
All products are available as one-time exports, licensed datasets, or quarterly refresh subscriptions. Custom geographies, field selections, and enrichment combinations are available on request.
mwilkesla@gmail.com